What is a SureBet ? How can a surebet be calculated ?
A Surebet (or an arbitrage bet) is a particular combination of bets offering you the garantee of money gaining. When taking advantage from a surebet related to a sports bet, you cannot loose money, no matter the outcome of the match.
How is this possible and how can surebets be found?
In fact, the principle is very simple. For being sure of making a winning bet, you only have to bet on
all possible outcomes. One of the bets shall win for sure! But pay attention, winning a bet by having
placed three stakes does not necessarily mean making money!
If you detect a surebet and if you bet a specific amount on each outcome, then the gain of the bet will
be higher than the sum of the stakes. And the gain will be certain!
So the difficult part is to find bets which allow the use of the surebet technique. The idea is to compare
the odds proposed by different bookmakers
in order to take advantage from the differences between odds, and to gain money this way.
Let us take the example of a football match between France and England.
Two bookmakers, A and B, propose the following odds:
| Bookmaker A | Bookmaker B | ||
| France | 1 | 2,1 | 2,4 |
| Draw | X | 3,25 | 3,0 |
| England | 2 | 3,75 | 3,95 |
At first sight, the match is a classical one. And if this combination of odds had really taken place, our
surebet detection system would have sounded the alarm because the odds proposed by the two bookmakers are
creating a surebet.
The detection principle is based on a mathematical formula identifying surebets when they appear.
Although the formula is of a disconcerting simplicity, applying it by hand, in real time and at specified
time-intervals (a few minutes), for thousands of matches, is a foolish attempt. Thanks to Moodds.com,
the surebets detection is now automatic. You will only have to calculate the amounts of the stakes to
bet (Moodds is going to help you here too!).
How to calculate the stakes for a surebet?
Two rules to keep in mind if you want to take advantage from a surebet:
- The objective is to have a guaranteed gain, no matter the outcome of the match
- Always bet on the highest odds
Let us imagine that you set your sights on a gain without risks of 100 euros (rule 1). For this, you have
to bet on the 3 possible outcomes: France wins, tie match, England wins. Each bet has to be placed for
the best odds possible (rule 2).
To be sure of gaining 100 euros in case of France's victory, you have to bet: 100 / 2.4 = 41.7 euros, and
the same for the other outcomes of the match:
| Bookmaker A | Bookmaker B | Gain | Stake | ||
| France | 1 | 2,1 | 2,4 | 100 € | 100 / 2,4 = 41,7 € |
| Draw | X | 3,25 | 3,0 | 100 € | 100 / 3,25 = 30,8 € |
| England | 2 | 3,75 | 3,95 | 100 € | 100 / 3,95 = 25,3 € |
Betting on all the possible outcomes will cost you 41.7 + 30.8 + 25.3 = 97.8 euros... But you are sure of
gaining 100 euros, because one of the three bets will be the winner. Nobody knows which bet will be
succesful but this is of no importance!
The sure gain is then 100 - 97.8 = 2.2 euros, no risk, no effort, and for a single match only.
Imagine what you could gain if you found one surebet a day, to say nothing about more than one !
To summarize, the surebet technique is simple and with no risk !
Like for the best odds, Moodds provides you with the right tools to easily take advantage from the surebets.
-
You have to open accounts to several bookmakers. Ideally, to at least 5.
Some players open up to 10 or 12 accounts to be sure not to miss any surebet. - Use our surebets detector to find out on what match to bet or not.
- Calculate the stake amounts for each outcome by the help of our calculator.
- Place your bets and wait for your gains :)
- Start again at stage 2 and increase your capital !
WARNING: Check twice the odds before betting! Indeed, between the moment we detect a
surebet and the moment you effectively place your stake, the match odds given by the bookmakers may have
changed... and the surebet is then no longer valid.
Eventually, before betting, you should know that the bookmakers reserve the right of canceling one of
your bets.
Next matches
France
League 1
